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(5/5)interesting river decission

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  • (5/5)interesting river decission

    PokerStars - 300/600 Ante 75 NL - Holdem - 9 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Big 44$

    MP+1: 27.17 BB (VPIP: 23.81, PFR: 24.39, 3Bet Preflop: 13.64, Hands: 42)
    Hero (MP+2): 52.7 BB
    CO: 39.26 BB (VPIP: 14.63, PFR: 10.26, 3Bet Preflop: 21.43, Hands: 41)
    BTN: 6.79 BB (VPIP: 15.32, PFR: 9.17, 3Bet Preflop: 4.65, Hands: 112)
    SB: 28.49 BB (VPIP: 7.14, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
    BB: 31.19 BB (VPIP: 31.43, PFR: 23.53, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 36)
    UTG: 10.2 BB (VPIP: 8.33, PFR: 6.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 48)
    UTG+1: 11.65 BB (VPIP: 17.24, PFR: 17.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)
    MP: 11 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)

    9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 2.62 BB) Hero has Q:diamond: Q:club:

    fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.13 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 1.13 BB

    Flop: (5.89 BB, 2 players) 5:club: 6:spade: 4:spade:
    BB checks, Hero checks

    Turn: (5.89 BB, 2 players) 2:heart:
    BB bets 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB

    River: (11.89 BB, 2 players) T:heart:
    BB bets 8 BB, Hero calls 8 BB

    BB shows 3:club: A:heart: (Straight, Six High)
    (Pre 29%, Flop 41%, Turn 97%)
    Hero mucks Q:diamond: Q:club: (One Pair, Queens)
    (Pre 71%, Flop 59%, Turn 3%)
    BB wins 27.89 BB

    is his bet only value heavy? probably not . if he is a good player? pretty sure not.....
    he had goldstatus so pretty sure not the biggest fish

    how is lookin my flop check back range and turn calling range?

    Click image for larger version

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    i am not sure about the A7 and K7 sometimes i bet them sometimes i check them and some 97s or so.

    the grafic below i done the range for villain which should be looking in theory to see if the call is profitable

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    so i would guess this call is mandatory

    Last edited by Fishhead; 07-09-2017, 05:02 PM.

  • #2
    Why check the flop?


    • Fishhead
      Fishhead commented
      Editing a comment
      why bet the flop vs aggressive villain? dont want to play big pot there on this flop.
      i dont have to bet the strong overpairs here 100% so i check better in this spot.
      just when he decides to check raise its getting a difficult spot. and i could have already thin equity.

      that outweights just to get from some 5x or 4x value.
      it hits his range pretty well

      just wanna play here a smaller pot vs this opponent for sure
      Last edited by Fishhead; 07-12-2017, 04:24 PM.

  • #3
    I can see some merit to checking back flop, but our opponent should have a lot of 3/5/6/7 in their range that we can get value from, plus draws.

    As played, I don't think we can fold QQ on the river. Our opponent can easily have JJ or Tsxs that picked up equity on the river, and when there are worse hands our opponent could be betting for value I think calling is pretty standard.


    • Fishhead
      Fishhead commented
      Editing a comment
      my logic is here on the flop:

      it hits his defending range pretty good and he can therefore put a lot of pressure (if he is aggressive and he is) on my cbet range even the stronger part of it. so therefore i take rather one of the stronger hands from the cbet range in the chekcback range that controls more the pot vs an aggressive opponent and is not that obvious.

      we can assume the river call depends a lot on the sizeing
      (the important factor is what he thinks of my hand or range. he got skillevel of 61 on sharkscope and he is pretty aggressive)

      so does he just want value or just force off a made hand?

      if its a value bet i got only bluffcatcher

      if it is a bluff he want to force offf made hand